bitcoin
The hub: where Bitcoin's price sits against its own trend and history.
Bitcoin price, valuation and trend indicators
Start here. These instruments compare Bitcoin's price with its own history: moving averages, distance from the all-time high, momentum. None of them forecast; each one says how stretched or calm price is against a reference, and each states the case against itself.
key dispatches
- October 22, 2026Oil Rose 85% in a Year to $108. Natural Gas, the Biggest Fuel for Texas Power, Rose 4%. That Is Why Mining Still Pays
- October 22, 2026The 10-Year Treasury Yield Hit 5.31% in October, the Highest Since 2002. Week to Week, It Told You Little About Bitcoin
- October 16, 2026Texas Hub Power Averaged About $42 a Megawatt-Hour Over the Past Month. Mining Broke Even Near $82
- October 16, 2026Bitcoin Difficulty Rose 5.92% at Block 971,712, the Largest Increase Since June
- September 11, 2026AI Agents and 100 Researchers Halved Google's Quantum Benchmark for Bitcoin's Curve. The Exposed Key Is What You Control
All 35 dispatches
- August 26, 2026Bitcoin Whales Have Swapped $5 Billion of Keys for BlackRock Shares. The Sales Pitch Is Fear
- August 14, 2026UAE Blames Iran for Drone Strikes on 2 Tankers. The Hormuz Protection Racket Runs on Bitcoin
- August 13, 2026Russia's First Legal Crypto List: Bitcoin, Ether, and the Stablecoin Whose Issuer Froze Garantex
- August 11, 2026Strategy Sold Bitcoin at a Loss for a 2nd Straight Week. Look at Who Gets Paid First
- July 30, 2026OFAC Sanctions Hormuz Safe, the Bitcoin Insurance Rail Built to Ignore Sanctions
- July 6, 2026A Bitcoin Holder Is Fighting a New York Lawsuit That Calls His Dormant Coins 'Lost Property'
- June 27, 2026Drone Strike Tests the Hormuz Bitcoin-Toll Ceasefire
- June 17, 2026Geneva Deal June 19 Ends Iran's Bitcoin Toll
- June 14, 2026Islamabad Declaration Trades Iran's Bitcoin Toll for Sanctions Relief
- June 9, 2026NY Court Halts Bid for 39,069 Dormant Bitcoin Wallets
- May 26, 2026Bitcoin Settles Insurance Premium for IRGC Missile Strike
- May 19, 2026Hormuz Safe: Iran Settles Sanctioned Marine Insurance in Bitcoin
- May 1, 2026328,372 BTC and No Authority to Buy More
- April 30, 2026Project Eleven's 15-Bit Quantum Bounty, Reproduced in 20 Python Lines
- April 28, 2026Postquant Labs Shipped Quantum Protection Without a Bitcoin Soft Fork
- April 22, 2026Coinbase's Quantum Board Flags 6.9 Million Bitcoin as Vulnerable
- April 21, 2026At Least One Ship Paid Bitcoin to Fake Hormuz Authorities
- April 15, 2026BIP-361 Would Freeze Bitcoin That Doesn't Migrate to Quantum-Safe Addresses
- April 10, 2026Bitcoin Quantum Prototypes Work Without Changing the Protocol
- April 9, 2026Two Papers Reframe Bitcoin's Quantum Threat as Mostly Misunderstood
- April 5, 2026Four Bitcoin Proposals for Surviving a Quantum Attack
- April 1, 2026DOL's 401(k) Bitcoin Rule Bakes In a Custody Problem
- March 31, 2026Google Cut the Estimated Qubit Threshold for Breaking Bitcoin by 20x
- March 24, 2026Brooklyn Court Orders DOJ to Account for 127,271 Bitcoin
- March 17, 2026In Iran, Civilians Went to Bitcoin. The State Went to Stablecoins.
- March 12, 2026One Custodian Holds 90% of All U.S. Bitcoin ETF Assets
- March 7, 2026Citi Moves Into Bitcoin Custody, Inheriting the Counterparty Risk
- February 23, 202620 Countries Are Racing to Stack Bitcoin
- February 22, 2026The US Holds 328,000 Bitcoin With No Plan
- February 7, 2026Bitcoin ETFs Cross $54 Billion With No Holder Keys
watch next
mempool.space estimates the next retargetretargetThe difficulty reset: every 2,016 blocks (about two weeks) Bitcoin re-tunes how hard mining is, so blocks keep coming about every 10 minutes.See it on the site →, at block 973,728 around October 30, at +2.44%.
from Bitcoin Difficulty Rose 5.92% at Block 971,712, the Largest Increase Since June →Where bitcoin connects
Lit lines are this topic's links. Pick another topic to compare.
what the lit lines mean
- policy shares 13 dispatches, about sanctions, court and lawsuit.
- energy shares 12 dispatches, about Hormuz, oil and nuclear.
- geopolitics shares 12 dispatches.
- macro shares 5 dispatches, about treasury, dollar and yield.
cycle
The four-year issuance clock, drawdowns and what holding through them looked like.
mining
The machines securing the chain: how much computing they run, how hard mining is, and what they earn.
- oct 22Oil Rose 85% in a Year to $108. Natural Gas, the Biggest Fuel for Texas Power, Rose 4%. That Is Why Mining Still Pays
- oct 16Texas Hub Power Averaged About $42 a Megawatt-Hour Over the Past Month. Mining Broke Even Near $82
energy
The bridge: the electricity behind mining, and the oil, gas and power shocks that tie Bitcoin to macro.
- oct 22Oil Rose 85% in a Year to $108. Natural Gas, the Biggest Fuel for Texas Power, Rose 4%. That Is Why Mining Still Pays
- oct 16Texas Hub Power Averaged About $42 a Megawatt-Hour Over the Past Month. Mining Broke Even Near $82
geopolitics
Conflicts, sanctions and state moves that spill into money and energy.
- aug 14UAE Blames Iran for Drone Strikes on 2 Tankers. The Hormuz Protection Racket Runs on Bitcoin
- aug 13Russia's First Legal Crypto List: Bitcoin, Ether, and the Stablecoin Whose Issuer Froze Garantex
policy
Laws, regulators and strategic-reserve bills, country by country and state by state.
- aug 13Russia's First Legal Crypto List: Bitcoin, Ether, and the Stablecoin Whose Issuer Froze Garantex
- jul 30OFAC Sanctions Hormuz Safe, the Bitcoin Insurance Rail Built to Ignore Sanctions
macro
Rates, the dollar, inflation and liquidity: the tide every asset swims in.
- oct 22The 10-Year Treasury Yield Hit 5.31% in October, the Highest Since 2002. Week to Week, It Told You Little About Bitcoin
- aug 11Strategy Sold Bitcoin at a Loss for a 2nd Straight Week. Look at Who Gets Paid First
Instruments on this topic (8)
- Mayer Multiple1.13× At $82,002, BTC trades +13% versus its 200-day average ($72,497). Readings above 2.4× have historically marked expensive zones, below 0.8× accumulation zones.
- 200-Week MA Multiple1.23× BTC trades 1.23× its 200-week moving average ($66,750). Cycle bottoms have historically formed near 1×, while tops have crested lower each cycle — roughly 15× in 2013, down to about 6× in 2021.
- Pi-Cycle Top48% The 111-day average is 48% of the Pi-Cycle top line (2× the 350-day average). A crossover to 100% or above has coincided with prior cycle tops; this is not a forecast.
- Bull Market Support Band1.08× At $82,002, BTC trades 1.08× its Bull Market Support Band ($75,750, the higher of the 20-week SMA and 21-week EMA). Prices holding above the band have historically marked bull phases and below it bear phases; this describes position, not direction.
- Weekly RSI58 The 14-week RSI reads 58 of 100. Below 30 is oversold and above 80 overbought on this timeframe; a single momentum reading measures pressure, not a turning point.
- Drawdown from ATH-34% BTC is 34% below its all-time high of $124,824 ($82,002 now).
- power-law chart
- volatility