200-Week MA Multiple
Price relative to the 200-week (1,400-day) moving average — a slow cycle baseline that has historically tracked major bottoms and tops.
1.25×Fair valueas of 2026-05-24
BTC trades 1.25× its 200-week moving average ($61,345). Cycle bottoms have historically formed near 1× and tops near 5×.
Backtest a DCA strategy →History
Off daily close through 2026-05-24 (btc-history.json). Price lags ~30d; live tail is a Phase 2 stitch.
How it's computed
Divide the daily close by the 200-week (1,400-day) simple moving average of the close. Computed off the daily close through the latest available row in btc-history.json (a price-only community feed that trails the live market by roughly 30 days); the tail therefore lags today by about a month. The series begins once 1,400 days of history exist.
Band guide
< 1×Undervalued
1×–3×Fair value
3×–5×Elevated
≥ 5×Historically expensive