BTChub
← Indicators

Drawdown from ATH

How far below the peak are we right now?

-34%as of 2026-10-18

BTC is 34% below its all-time high of $124,824 ($82,002 now).

History

Off daily closes through 2026-10-18 (btc-history.json, weekly automated refresh); the current reading stitches the live spot when available.

Why we track it, how it's computed, and related reading

Why we track it · The rawest read of damage: no model, no parameters — just price against the highest close so far. The other side · Says nothing about direction. −50% preceded both recoveries and further halvings; depth is not a floor.

Drawdown is how far the current price sits below its running all-time high — a plain measure of how deep the market is off its peak.

Trace this number
Latest close$82,002as of 2026-10-18
All-time-high close$124,824as of 2025-10-06
close ÷ ATH − 1= -34%

The arithmetic is auditable; whether it means anything is the “other side” above. Levels are the weekly file’s completed closes — the reading stitches the live spot when available, so an intraday value can differ.

Backtest it in the Time Machine →

How it's computed

For each day, divide the close by the highest close seen up to that day and subtract 1, giving a percentage at or below zero. It carries no valuation bands; the zones below are descriptive context only. Computed off daily closes through the latest row in btc-history.json — a price-only series refreshed weekly by an automated, validation-gated pipeline, so the tail can trail the live market by up to a week between refreshes. The current reading stitches the live spot when available.

Source bundled daily closes (public/btc-history.json)Processing close ÷ running all-time-high close − 1 (no lookahead)Last updated 2026-10-18Next expected ~2026-10-25“drawdown” in the glossary →

Evidence basis · every daily close since 2010 — no parameters, nothing fit

Band guide

0% to -20%Near highs
-20% to -50%Correction
-50% to -75%Deep drawdown
worse than -75%Severe drawdown

Read it alongside

From the intel desk

Dispatches from the desks that watch this instrument — editorial context, not signals.