OPN Intel
AS-OF
BTC$77,682MAYER1.12×200W1.20×PI-CYCLE41%DRAWDOWN-38%PUELL0.94×W-RSI56BMSB1.11×
AS OF 2026-08-30
← Indicators

Drawdown from ATH

How far below the peak are we right now?

Why we track it · The rawest read of damage: no model, no parameters — just price against the highest close so far. The other side · Says nothing about direction. −50% preceded both recoveries and further halvings; depth is not a floor.

Drawdown is how far the current price sits below its running all-time high — a plain measure of how deep the market is off its peak.

-38%as of 2026-08-30

BTC is 38% below its all-time high of $124,824 ($77,682 now).

Trace this number
Latest close$77,682as of 2026-08-30
All-time-high close$124,824as of 2025-10-06
close ÷ ATH − 1= -38%

The arithmetic is auditable; whether it means anything is the “other side” above. Levels are the weekly file’s completed closes — the reading stitches the live spot when available, so an intraday value can differ.

Backtest it in the Time Machine →

History

Off daily closes through 2026-08-30 (btc-history.json, weekly automated refresh); the current reading stitches the live spot when available.

How it's computed

For each day, divide the close by the highest close seen up to that day and subtract 1, giving a percentage at or below zero. It carries no valuation bands; the zones below are descriptive context only. Computed off daily closes through the latest row in btc-history.json — a price-only series refreshed weekly by an automated, validation-gated pipeline, so the tail can trail the live market by up to a week between refreshes. The current reading stitches the live spot when available.

Source bundled daily closes (public/btc-history.json)Processing close ÷ running all-time-high close − 1 (no lookahead)Last updated 2026-08-30Next expected ~2026-09-06drawdown” in the glossary →

Evidence basis · every daily close since 2010 — no parameters, nothing fit

Band guide

0% to -20%Near highs
-20% to -50%Correction
-50% to -75%Deep drawdown
worse than -75%Severe drawdown

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