OPN Intel · Indicators
Indicators
What each number means, and what to do next — every reading traces to a computed value, and ends with a way to act on it.
Trend & valuation
Where price sits against its own moving baselines.
At $77,682, BTC trades +12% versus its 200-day average ($69,373). Readings above 2.4× have historically marked expensive zones, below 0.8× accumulation zones.
BTC trades 1.20× its 200-week moving average ($64,510). Cycle bottoms have historically formed near 1×, while tops have crested lower each cycle — roughly 15× in 2013, down to about 6× in 2021.
At $77,682, BTC trades 1.11× its Bull Market Support Band ($70,005, the higher of the 20-week SMA and 21-week EMA). Prices holding above the band have historically marked bull phases and below it bear phases; this describes position, not direction.
Cycle timing
The reads that have historically flagged tops, bottoms, and the supply clock.
The 111-day average is 41% of the Pi-Cycle top line (2× the 350-day average). A crossover to 100% or above has coincided with prior cycle tops; this is not a forecast.
Daily issuance value is 0.94× its 365-day average (Puell Multiple). Readings below ~0.5× have marked miner-capitulation lows, above ~4× cycle tops.
~83,568 blocks (~573 days) to the next halving at block 1,050,000 (est. 2028), when the block subsidy falls to 1.5625 BTC.
Momentum & extremes
How stretched the move is, and how far from the high.
The 14-week RSI reads 56 of 100. Below 30 is oversold and above 80 overbought on this timeframe; a single momentum reading measures pressure, not a turning point.
BTC is 38% below its all-time high of $124,824 ($77,682 now).
328 days have passed since the all-time-high close of $124,824 on 2025-10-06. This counts elapsed time only and says nothing about what comes next.