OPN Intel · The Brief
The whole state of Bitcoin, in seven numbers.
Three minutes, no dashboard. Every number below is computed from the open record, links to its full instrument, and comes with the one thing most sites omit — what it can’t tell you.
as of 2026-08-30
01 · The price
One bitcoin, in dollars.
The only raw fact on this page — everything below is that number placed in context. As of 2026-08-30; the live tick runs in the bar above.
→ The daily pulse02 · The valuation
Below its long-run trend.
Across its whole life, Bitcoin's price has tracked a power law of its age. Today sits −46% under that fitted fair value — a descriptive fit, not a law.
→ The Power Law chart03 · The band
Maximum undervalue.
A second, slightly steeper log fit — not the same line — fanned into the seven famous rainbow colours. A mood ring, not a signal — but a vivid one: most of history was spent in the middle bands, and today isn't.
→ The Rainbow view04 · The cycle
Accumulation, by the composite read.
Six valuation indicators, each normalised onto its own historical bands and averaged: 0 has meant cycle bottoms, 100 has meant tops. Position within the cycle — no claim about what comes next.
→ The full breakdown05 · The fall
Below the all-time high.
Deep drawdowns are Bitcoin's normal cost of admission: 6 of its 7 major falls have fully recovered, including 4 of more than 75%. The current one is still open — and past recoveries guarantee nothing.
→ Every major drawdown06 · The scarcity
Most of it already exists.
New supply arrives at 0.8% a year — 2.1× scarcer than gold — and halves again in ~573 days. Protocol arithmetic, not a market opinion.
→ The issuance curve07 · The record
Of all entry days, in profit today.
Every 4-year hold in the record ended in profit — though a few 5-year holds didn't. Time has beaten timing in this one asset's one history. The future owes that record nothing.
→ What holding actually didSeven numbers. Zero prophecy.
Everything above describes where Bitcoin sits — against its own trend, its own cycles, its own record. None of it says where it goes next; nothing can. If the record convinces you the ride is worth taking, the boring strategy is the one that survived it.